Predicting the future value of your customers

Did you know that by the time you on-board a customer you will be able to accurately predict their future value?

From which it becomes clear that the decisions you make at the customer recruitment stage will determine that key metric of future customer value.

These are typically decisions about the recruitment channel and tactic you use, the types of customer you are targeting, and the nature of the proposition you are making to them.

Now you should also take into consideration the fact that a large number of customers that businesses recruit will yield negative value after the costs of recruitment have been deducted, whilst others will be strongly positive.

Predicting the future value of your customers

So, what as a marketer, should you do about predicting the future value of your customers?

  • First stop focusing on cost per acquisition; it’s the wrong metric to be guided by.
  • Next, we suggest that you should take a multivariate approach so that you consider all the factors together that define customer groups in order to focus on the ones that will bring you value.

We have recently been helping a substantial life insurance broker do this and the result has been transformational; for instance, they can now balance factors like the risk of attrition against the amount of monthly premium paid. They have found that a substantial number of their marketing tactics are yielding negative customer value and have had to be abandoned.

If you would like to discuss how to target your customer recruitment for longer term value then please contact us.

If you would like to read a case study about how we did it then please read our post:


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UniFida is the trading name of Marketing Planning Services Ltd, a London based technology and data science company set up in 2014. Our overall aim is to help organisations build more customer value at less marketing cost.

Our technology focus has been to develop UniFida. Our data science business comes both from existing users of UniFida, and from clients looking to us to solve their more complex data related marketing questions.

Marketing is changing at an explosive speed, and our ambition is to help our clients stay empowered and ahead in this challenging environment.